Showing posts with label londonsummit2009. Show all posts
Showing posts with label londonsummit2009. Show all posts

G-20: Who plays the Banker?

From Buckingham Palace t0 10, Downing Street to ExCeL Centre, the metropolis of London is abuzz with the frenzied arrangements for the top 20 world leaders. The world is watching: Can London pull the world out of this fast developing depression? Can the 'G-2' (USA and China) emerge as the joint leaders of new age? What is developing at the ExCeL Centre today is a game of Monopoly and the big question is 'WHO PLAYS THE BANKER?'



All of us in the sane world have reached a common conclusion, this recession is the worst 'Made in USA' product. But there's the catch, its exported by demand, the choice always lies with the importer. The huge US budget deficit has done everyone in. Sarkozy put it bluntly, its made in America and its burning our homes and cities, atleast correct on his part. Asking for stricter regulation of Banks is no sin, specially to avoid any such crisis in future. So why is US & UK opposing it? Quite simple, these two always believed in splurging more to get out of the less - deficit. The French and German stand is crystal clear, the mess is created by US, it cannot run away from the responsibility to clean it up. Calls for collective deterrence will be heeded only if it involves major contribution from the US and its allies (Japan and Saudi Arabia), rather than asking from EU or China. Although China will most probably take this opportunity to stamp its financial clout on the world. Still keeping with its pride, the CNN called the meeting between Hu Jintao and Barrack Obama as the G-2. The answer is clear, the US wants China to bail out the world, which China will most probably do, strings attached. Although, the Chinese ambitions to replace US Dollars as de facto reserve currency of IMF won't do any good for the Trillions in its own vaults.



Another thorn in American collective ambitions is the issue of Tax Havens. The financial crisis made the governments realise that they can no longer turn blind eyes on the 'letter-box' companies in Liechtenstein and to the super-secretive banking system in Switzerland. But this issue might not be resolved as easily as it seems like. The problem- Many of the politicians are the major beneficiaries of the banking system of the Alpine nation. For a country like India, the return of money sitting in the ultra modern vaults of Swiss Banks will easily take it past all the major European economies, if not China. That will create a huge political turmoil in countries with high-red tapism or if unclaimed, will dramatically increase the per capita income. Thats not a bad idea to eradicate poverty in India. The same applies for the English and American hot shots who have all there black unamounted money sun-bathing in the Cayman Islands and Bahamas. These money, if not belonging to the Politicians, belongs to the major donors of the political parties in both US and UK.



The demand of developing nation, represented by Brazil, India and South Africa will be more funds for the emerging economies. Although the trio will perhaps see the period through, but remains fearful of the fact that many won't, without help from the West. The poor of the world shouldn't be made to pay for the mis-deeds of the filthy rich, this will be the motto of all three.



Africa, represented by Commission of the African Union, is clearly disappointed by the lack of resolve by the developed nations to help the continent. Instead of asking for a help, getting an assurance and given nothing, the African Union is asking for IMF's vast gold reserves to be diluted in part to help the fledgling ecomony of most African nations. Although seems highly unlikely, the resourceful continent is surely set to get a deal, exclusively for itself.



The summit, unlike other highest level meetings, is sure to deliver. And for a change, this time not for themselves, its for the world. The winner?? Only one as it stands, China is coming and world better watch out; RESPECT: it commands.

G-20: Who plays the Banker?

From Buckingham Palace t0 10, Downing Street to ExCeL Centre, the metropolis of London is abuzz with the frenzied arrangements for the top 20 world leaders. The world is watching: Can London pull the world out of this fast developing depression? Can the 'G-2' (USA and China) emerge as the joint leaders of new age? What is developing at the ExCeL Centre today is a game of Monopoly and the big question is 'WHO PLAYS THE BANKER?'



All of us in the sane world have reached a common conclusion, this recession is the worst 'Made in USA' product. But there's the catch, its exported by demand, the choice always lies with the importer. The huge US budget deficit has done everyone in. Sarkozy put it bluntly, its made in America and its burning our homes and cities, atleast correct on his part. Asking for stricter regulation of Banks is no sin, specially to avoid any such crisis in future. So why is US & UK opposing it? Quite simple, these two always believed in splurging more to get out of the less - deficit. The French and German stand is crystal clear, the mess is created by US, it cannot run away from the responsibility to clean it up. Calls for collective deterrence will be heeded only if it involves major contribution from the US and its allies (Japan and Saudi Arabia), rather than asking from EU or China. Although China will most probably take this opportunity to stamp its financial clout on the world. Still keeping with its pride, the CNN called the meeting between Hu Jintao and Barrack Obama as the G-2. The answer is clear, the US wants China to bail out the world, which China will most probably do, strings attached. Although, the Chinese ambitions to replace US Dollars as de facto reserve currency of IMF won't do any good for the Trillions in its own vaults.



Another thorn in American collective ambitions is the issue of Tax Havens. The financial crisis made the governments realise that they can no longer turn blind eyes on the 'letter-box' companies in Liechtenstein and to the super-secretive banking system in Switzerland. But this issue might not be resolved as easily as it seems like. The problem- Many of the politicians are the major beneficiaries of the banking system of the Alpine nation. For a country like India, the return of money sitting in the ultra modern vaults of Swiss Banks will easily take it past all the major European economies, if not China. That will create a huge political turmoil in countries with high-red tapism or if unclaimed, will dramatically increase the per capita income. Thats not a bad idea to eradicate poverty in India. The same applies for the English and American hot shots who have all there black unamounted money sun-bathing in the Cayman Islands and Bahamas. These money, if not belonging to the Politicians, belongs to the major donors of the political parties in both US and UK.



The demand of developing nation, represented by Brazil, India and South Africa will be more funds for the emerging economies. Although the trio will perhaps see the period through, but remains fearful of the fact that many won't, without help from the West. The poor of the world shouldn't be made to pay for the mis-deeds of the filthy rich, this will be the motto of all three.



Africa, represented by Commission of the African Union, is clearly disappointed by the lack of resolve by the developed nations to help the continent. Instead of asking for a help, getting an assurance and given nothing, the African Union is asking for IMF's vast gold reserves to be diluted in part to help the fledgling ecomony of most African nations. Although seems highly unlikely, the resourceful continent is surely set to get a deal, exclusively for itself.



The summit, unlike other highest level meetings, is sure to deliver. And for a change, this time not for themselves, its for the world. The winner?? Only one as it stands, China is coming and world better watch out; RESPECT: it commands.

Rescession - The Real Estate Co-relation

The whole world seems to be fighting with an invisible enemy these days. One, which refuses to die down and retaliates as an essential example of Newton's Third Law of Motion. The governments world over are trying to figure out strategies to combat this enemy, yet to no rather negative effect. This enemy ain't murdering innocents. Yet there is pain, suffering, fear and uncertainty. Thats what the RECESSION has resulted and make no mistake, its getting worst.

Most of us point our finger to the US sub-prime mortgages, much in demand because of the Real Estate bubble. Here's what i think about the co-relation between Real Estate and Global Economic downturn.

Lets assume 3 inhabitants - A, B and C on a remote island. A and B have 1 coin each and C owns a piece of land.


  • Human wants are more than needs. A buys the land from C for 1 coin, all fine, just an exchange.
    Situation: A- Land, B-1 Coin and C-1 Coin; Price of land- 1 Coin


  • Tempted by the uniqueness of land (2 Coins but land only 1), B buys the land from A for 2 coins, borrowing another coin from C, introduction of credit.
    Situation: A-2 Coins, B- Land and a debt of 1 coin from C, C- 1 coin lended to B; Price of Land: 2 Coins


  • Lured by the trading of land by fellow co-inhabitants, C decides to re-buy the land from B for asked price of 3 Coins. Already lended 1 Coin to B, C borrows 2 coins from A to pay-pff the rest. Still fine, no shortage of phsical money.
    Situations: A- Lended 2 Coins to C, B- 2 Coins, C- Land and debt of 2 Coins from A; Price of land: 3 Coins


  • A decides to realise its loan by exchanging land with C. C asks for 4 coins as the price of land. A borrows 2 Coins from B and acquires the land from C. Still better, rotation of money.
    Situation: A- Land and debt of 2 coins from B, B- 2 coins lended to A, C- 2 Coins; Price of land- 4 coins.


  • Fearful of his loan going bad B re-buys the land from A for a price of 5 Coins- 2 borrowed from C + 2 against loan and 1 DUE. Physical money shortage.
    Situation: A-2 Coins and 1 due from B, B- Land, 2 Coins borrowed from C and 1 coin due to A, C- 2 Coins lended to B; Price of land- 5 Coins



The Price of land when exceeded more than 1 Coin, resulted in introduction of credit, more than 2- increased credit, more than 5- shortage of physical money. All of it gets worse from here, till a point of realisation that no more money exists which will than led to panic selling, resulting in the reduction of price of land. The land will ultimately fall down to its base price, 1 coin, but the credit will still exist. Implications will be bitter fighting for the realisation of borrowings, ultimately leading to war like situations. The disaster could have been avoided if each of them had realised how much money the others had, which would have laid to rest the uncalculated lendings and borrowings.

Its the banks who are at fault, because they got to assert how much money can the borrower pay back. Whatever may be, we are heading for the 3rd World War.

Rescession - The Real Estate Co-relation

The whole world seems to be fighting with an invisible enemy these days. One, which refuses to die down and retaliates as an essential example of Newton's Third Law of Motion. The governments world over are trying to figure out strategies to combat this enemy, yet to no rather negative effect. This enemy ain't murdering innocents. Yet there is pain, suffering, fear and uncertainty. Thats what the RECESSION has resulted and make no mistake, its getting worst.

Most of us point our finger to the US sub-prime mortgages, much in demand because of the Real Estate bubble. Here's what i think about the co-relation between Real Estate and Global Economic downturn.

Lets assume 3 inhabitants - A, B and C on a remote island. A and B have 1 coin each and C owns a piece of land.


  • Human wants are more than needs. A buys the land from C for 1 coin, all fine, just an exchange.
    Situation: A- Land, B-1 Coin and C-1 Coin; Price of land- 1 Coin


  • Tempted by the uniqueness of land (2 Coins but land only 1), B buys the land from A for 2 coins, borrowing another coin from C, introduction of credit.
    Situation: A-2 Coins, B- Land and a debt of 1 coin from C, C- 1 coin lended to B; Price of Land: 2 Coins


  • Lured by the trading of land by fellow co-inhabitants, C decides to re-buy the land from B for asked price of 3 Coins. Already lended 1 Coin to B, C borrows 2 coins from A to pay-pff the rest. Still fine, no shortage of phsical money.
    Situations: A- Lended 2 Coins to C, B- 2 Coins, C- Land and debt of 2 Coins from A; Price of land: 3 Coins


  • A decides to realise its loan by exchanging land with C. C asks for 4 coins as the price of land. A borrows 2 Coins from B and acquires the land from C. Still better, rotation of money.
    Situation: A- Land and debt of 2 coins from B, B- 2 coins lended to A, C- 2 Coins; Price of land- 4 coins.


  • Fearful of his loan going bad B re-buys the land from A for a price of 5 Coins- 2 borrowed from C + 2 against loan and 1 DUE. Physical money shortage.
    Situation: A-2 Coins and 1 due from B, B- Land, 2 Coins borrowed from C and 1 coin due to A, C- 2 Coins lended to B; Price of land- 5 Coins



The Price of land when exceeded more than 1 Coin, resulted in introduction of credit, more than 2- increased credit, more than 5- shortage of physical money. All of it gets worse from here, till a point of realisation that no more money exists which will than led to panic selling, resulting in the reduction of price of land. The land will ultimately fall down to its base price, 1 coin, but the credit will still exist. Implications will be bitter fighting for the realisation of borrowings, ultimately leading to war like situations. The disaster could have been avoided if each of them had realised how much money the others had, which would have laid to rest the uncalculated lendings and borrowings.

Its the banks who are at fault, because they got to assert how much money can the borrower pay back. Whatever may be, we are heading for the 3rd World War.